6 posts found
03/02/2022 · 4 min read
Calculated risk means you have assessed the probability, the worst-case cost, and the expected value before acting. The highest-return categories: investing in capacity ahead of revenue, entering a new market once you have hit a ceiling, and saying no to bad business that erodes book quality.
10/21/2021 · 7 min read
Three de-biasing techniques that actually move agency decisions: the pre-mortem (assume the decision failed, list why), structured disagreement (assign one person to argue against the plan), and the information audit (where did this data come from, who has a different view).
10/21/2021 · 6 min read
Stop trusting your gut on big agency calls. Use the EGRIP framework: name your Emotions, clarify Goals, separate Reality from assumption, Integrate dissenting perspectives, and run a Planning pre-mortem. Build it into hiring, financial, and carrier decisions before you commit.
10/20/2021 · 5 min read
Four cognitive biases drain agency decisions: confirmation bias (only seeing what supports your call), sunk cost (keeping the producer because of past salary spent), availability bias (one vivid loss skews your whole strategy), and overconfidence (10 years of experience builds blind spots).
05/05/2021 · 5 min read
Commit first, figure it out second. Julian Chambers built his agency by deciding on a direction before he had all the data, then letting the commitment force the answers. The fear of getting it wrong is almost always bigger than the actual recoverable cost.
04/21/2021 · 5 min read
A declaration is a statement. A decision is a behavior change. Close the gap with a four-step loop: identify the daily inputs your goal requires, track those behaviors (not results), review weekly, and stay direct so today's hours connect to this month's target.